Friday, February 22, 2008

Obama's Lead Widens, Or Does It?

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This Friday's Pollster graph seems to show that Barack Obama's lead over Hillary Clinton has windened compared to last week. The gap is now 47.8 - 44, or 3.8 percent. As you can see from the chart, some of Clinton's support has wavered. This is to be expected when she hasn't won in a while.

There are two interesting things about the poll results, which you can view here. First, it looks like the number of undecideds is going up again, and the latest polls mostly show Clinton and Obama in a dead heat. One recent poll, the Feb. 15 Gallup, has Obama up by seven points, but the remainder from the week show it neck-and-neck. Obama's line is still going up thanks to that one poll, I think, plus "momentum" provided by the smoothing algorithm. It may be that Obama has gotten as popular as he's going to.

Obama is running into more trouble, but as in earlier times, his disciples seem to be able to ignore it and press on. This week, his ties to William Ayers, a former Weatherman, became more evident:

Obama tries to dismiss the tie to Ayers by claiming he was only eight years old when Ayers was planting bombs in the United States. That is true. But when Barack subsequently met Ayers he knew about Ayers’ past and Ayers’ belief he had nothing to apologize for. So here we have a guy who dreams of running for president and he does not understand the implications of letting an unrepentant terrorist raise money for him?

Obama Tries To Hide Ayers Tie

I doubt this will affect Obama supporters much. Reality seldom seems to intrude on their political beliefs. Unfortunately, middle America won't feel the same way. What they'll see is that he is a lawyer who let himself be connected politically to a terrorist, and an unrepentent one at that.

Once again, Democrats have zeroed in on the worst possible candidate, it would seem.

UPDATE: Here's an example of how reality hasn't intruded. Blue Texan writes at Firedoglake:

Using words like "snobs" and "pampered" to describe Michelle Obama, who grew up the daughter of a Chicago water plant employee, and Barack Obama, who grew up without a dad and eschewed a cushy, six-figure legal gig to work as a community organizer on Chicago's posh South Side is really rich.

Peggy Noonan: The Obamas Are Unpatriotic Liberal Snobs

Anyone who thinks the once-poor can't be snobs needs to go meet a few. I don't know if the Obamas fit that description or not, but just having been poor is no proof against it. Second, most folks who eschew "six-figure legal gigs" to work as community organizers don't manage to ingratiate themselves with the corrupt local party machine. Yet Obama did. A realist would wonder why. Realists are few and far between amongst Obama supporters.


Chino Blanco said...

Raise money for him? Are you kidding? Please go ahead and divulge the amount of money in question. Surely it was a substantial sum, no? Please tell.

Chino Blanco said...

Oh, nevermind, I'll spill the beans. It was $200.

I'm sure that bought plenty.

Funnily enough, I bet somebody spent a lot more than $200 to start this bogus story spreading all over the internet.

Nice piece of work on your part, though, picking it up and running with it like you have. Bet that took a lot of effort. Hope you got paid for it.

Cujo359 said...

You need to do more reading and less writing. That's a common problem among Obama supporters, I'm finding.

Obama met Ayers when he was introduced to a group of potential supporters by Alice Palmer as her chosen successor. Ayers certainly was part of a group of people who raised money for him. The $200 you're going on about was just Ayer's personal contribution.

Cujo359 said...

BTW, without even checking I can honestly say I'm being paid no more to write this than you are to "debunk" it. Let's see if you can connect the dots in that monetary equation.

How long have you lived in Taiwan?